Welcome to the 5th Annual Academy Awards Predictions column here at Enuffa.com, where my colleague Mike Drinan (@mdrinan380) and I compete for bragging rights, prognosticating the Oscars!
2019 is in the history books and we've got quite the slate of films this year - films about war, auto racing, 60s Hollywood, mentally disturbed comic book villains, 19th century women, gangsters, strained marriages, imaginary Nazi friends, and whatever the hell
Parasite is about. I've seen six of the Best Pic nominees and hope to catch the last three before Sunday.
This turned out to be a very strong year in film; several good popcorn movies (
Avengers: Endgame,
The Rise of Skywalker), some really innovative genre pictures (
Us,
1917,
Joker), multiple offerings from under the expanding Netflix umbrella (
The Irishman,
Marriage Story,
The Two Popes), and yet another neo-classic from Quentin Tarantino, featuring a pair of actors being referred to as "The last two true movie stars." We'll eventually write a piece about the films of the 2010s, and I'd likely include multiple entries from 2019 on my Best Of list.
Once again the Oscars have no host this year; I think most people enjoyed the streamlined format to keep the running time down and the show simpler. I generally like the idea of a host, but aside from the opening monologue/song I suppose there isn't much need for one. Regardless, this should be a fun evening. But enough blathering, let's pick some winners (As of now Mike is trouncing me in the predictions)....
Best Picture
Ford vs. Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite
Justin: This category is between two frontrunners, each of which won a Best Picture Golden Globe.
1917 is an incredible, immersive war film done in one continuous shot (or at least edited to look like it), while
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is a love letter to the late 60s set against the backdrop of the Sharon Tate murders. I loved both of these films. My favorite of the year was
OUATIH and I'm a little sad Tarantino's going to come so close to winning the big one only to fall short again. But it seems clear the Academy is going all-in on
1917, which Sam Mendes based on World War I stories his grandfather used to tell him. I'm fine with that winning, as it's my second choice (Poetically Mendes's debut feature won this award 20 years ago). I'm also happy
Joker got a nod. What a surreal film; a Scorsese-esque character study about a comic book character. It's kind of mindboggling this film got made and even moreso that it made a fortune.
Prediction: 1917
Mike: I've managed to see 7 of the 9 nominees this year and I'm sure I've seen the eventual winner.
Parasite is a master class in filmmaking and storytelling. The theme behind the story and how it was delivered was just incredible. However, no foreign film has ever taken home the top prize and I'm not so sure that will change, even for the best reviewed movie of the year.
Joker was great and
JoJo Rabbit was such a great movie. Funny and absurd but then takes a turn into the serious. It reminded me a lot of
Life Is Beautiful. But my favorite film this year was easily
1917. It was really hard to get past how great the storytelling was, how it was shot, and the suspense it captured.
Prediction: 1917
Best Director
Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
Todd Phillips – Joker
Sam Mendes – 1917
Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon-ho – Parasite
Justin: Like the Best Pic category, this is a two-horse race. Quentin Tarantino vs. Sam Mendes. Again I'll be sad to see Tarantino, one of my all-time favorite directors, fall just short of this award, but the smart money is on Mendes. Todd Phillips's work on
Joker was a little too Scorsese for him to deserve this, while Scorsese's work on
The Irishman was a little too.....well, 90s Scorsese. Bong Joon-ho could be a spoiler but I'm sticking with Sam.
Prediction: Sam Mendes
Mike: I agree with you that this is a two-horse race however Tarantino isn't a part of it. For me, it's between Mendes and Bong Joon Ho for
Parasite.
1917 is a film that ranks up there with
Saving Private Ryan (the most famous of all the Academy's sins) and if he was awarded the Oscar, it's deserved. However,
Parasite is a masterpiece and its delivery is crazy good. This was a film I actually had to digest after it was over. Also, considering how the Director's branch of the Academy is primarily made up of directors from other countries, I think
Parasite's theme is actually going to translate more in this category than any others.
Prediction: Bong Joon Ho